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Premier League Libya. Matchday 12

Al Ahli Tripoli vs Al Medina Tripoli analysis

Al Ahli Tripoli Al Medina Tripoli
17 ELO 10
46% Tilt -21%
7625º General ELO ranking 20978º
Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
67.8%
Al Ahli Tripoli
19.5%
Draw
12.6%
Al Medina Tripoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
Al Ahli Tripoli
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.6%
Win probability
Al Medina Tripoli
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Ahli Tripoli
+27%
-18%
Al Medina Tripoli

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Al Ahli Tripoli
33
33
100%
Al Ittihad Tripoli
31
31
100%
Al Ahly Benghazi
28
28
100%
Al Medina Tripoli
26
26
100%
Al Hilal
21
21
50%
Al-Wehda
21
21
50%
Al-Sowaihili
18
18
33%
Darnes SC
18
18
33%
Al Nasr Benghazi
18
18
33%
Al-Akhdar
10º
17
17
10º
50%
Al-Najma
11º
17
17
11º
50%
Al-Olympique
12º
15
15
12º
100%
Khaleej Sart
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Al-Tahaddi
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Al Shat
15º
9
9
15º
100%
Al-Tirsana
16º
4
4
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Al Ahli Tripoli
Al Medina Tripoli
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
Al Medina Tripoli
AMT
Al Nasr Benghazi
ANB
Al-Sowaihili
ALS
Al Hilal
ALH
Al-Tirsana
ALT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Ahli Tripoli
Al Ahli Tripoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO TRI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2014
DIF
Difaâ El Jadida
2 - 1
Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
60%
22%
18%
242 738 496 -2
20 Apr. 2014
TRI
Al Ahli Tripoli
1 - 0
Difaâ El Jadida
DIF
36%
27%
37%
233 737 -504 +5
11 Apr. 2014
ALT
Al-Tirsana
0 - 1
Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
45%
27%
28%
230 136 -94 +1
05 Apr. 2014
TRI
Al Ahli Tripoli
2 - 1
Al-Sowaihili
ALS
48%
27%
26%
229 127 102 +1
30 Mar. 2014
KHS
Khaleej Sart
0 - 2
Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
45%
27%
28%
228 137 -91 +1

Matches

Al Medina Tripoli
Al Medina Tripoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO AMT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2014
ALA
Al-Akhdar
0 - 0
Al Medina Tripoli
AMT
44%
27%
29%
151 160 9 0
03 Apr. 2014
ALH
Al Hilal
1 - 1
Al Medina Tripoli
AMT
46%
27%
27%
151 131 -20 0
28 Mar. 2014
AMT
Al Medina Tripoli
2 - 0
Al Nasr Benghazi
ANB
44%
27%
29%
150 145 5 +1
14 Mar. 2014
AMT
Al Medina Tripoli
0 - 1
Khaleej Sart
KHS
44%
27%
29%
151 136 15 -1
29 Nov. 2013
AMT
Al Medina Tripoli
1 - 0
Al-Tirsana
ALT
44%
27%
29%
150 139 11 +1