Al Ahli Tripoli vs Al-Madina SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 0
ALO
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
ATB
2 - 0
TRI
29%
25%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
ALT
0 - 1
TRI
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
4 - 4
ANB
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
ALA
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Madina SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
ITT
1 - 1
AMT
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
SHA
0 - 1
AMT
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
AWT
0 - 2
AMT
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
AMT
0 - 1
ALS
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
ALH
1 - 2
AMT
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |