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Premier League Libya. Matchday 14

Al Ahli Tripoli vs Al Hilal analysis

Al Ahli Tripoli Al Hilal
17 ELO 8
73% Tilt -35%
7625º General ELO ranking 11564º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
77.6%
Al Ahli Tripoli
14.9%
Draw
7.5%
Al Hilal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
Al Ahli Tripoli
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
Al Hilal
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Al Ahli Tripoli
+39%
-24%
Al Hilal

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Al Ahli Tripoli
33
33
100%
Al Ittihad Tripoli
31
31
100%
Al Ahly Benghazi
28
28
100%
Al Medina Tripoli
26
26
100%
Al Hilal
21
21
50%
Al-Wehda
21
21
50%
Al-Sowaihili
18
18
33%
Darnes SC
18
18
33%
Al Nasr Benghazi
18
18
33%
Al-Akhdar
10º
17
17
10º
50%
Al-Najma
11º
17
17
11º
50%
Al-Olympique
12º
15
15
12º
100%
Khaleej Sart
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Al-Tahaddi
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Al Shat
15º
9
9
15º
100%
Al-Tirsana
16º
4
4
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Al Ahli Tripoli
Al Hilal
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
Al Hilal
ALH
Al Ittihad Tripoli
AIT
Al Medina Tripoli
AMT
Al-Tirsana
ALT
Al Ahly Benghazi
AAB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Al Ahli Tripoli
Al Ahli Tripoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO TRI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2014
ANB
Al Nasr Benghazi
1 - 0
Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
45%
27%
28%
238 142 -96 -1
28 Apr. 2014
TRI
Al Ahli Tripoli
5 - 0
Al Medina Tripoli
AMT
48%
27%
26%
236 151 85 +1
26 Apr. 2014
DIF
Difaâ El Jadida
2 - 1
Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
60%
22%
18%
242 738 496 -2
20 Apr. 2014
TRI
Al Ahli Tripoli
1 - 0
Difaâ El Jadida
DIF
36%
27%
37%
233 737 -504 +5
11 Apr. 2014
ALT
Al-Tirsana
0 - 1
Al Ahli Tripoli
TRI
45%
27%
28%
230 136 -94 +1

Matches

Al Hilal
Al Hilal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2014
ALH
Al Hilal
0 - 0
Al-Akhdar
ALA
46%
27%
28%
130 161 -31 0
28 Apr. 2014
ALH
Al Hilal
1 - 1
Khaleej Sart
KHS
46%
27%
27%
130 137 -7 0
19 Apr. 2014
ANB
Al Nasr Benghazi
1 - 0
Al Hilal
ALH
44%
27%
29%
131 143 12 -1
03 Apr. 2014
ALH
Al Hilal
1 - 1
Al Medina Tripoli
AMT
46%
27%
27%
131 151 -20 0
29 Mar. 2014
ALT
Al-Tirsana
0 - 1
Al Hilal
ALH
44%
27%
29%
130 138 8 +1