Al Ahed vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 2
ALA
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALN
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
ALA
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALA
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
ALA
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
ALN
2 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
SAF
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 2
SAF
37%
27%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
4 - 1
SAF
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAF
0 - 0
ALA
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |