Bulgaria Third Division North-East Round 28

Aksakovo vs Fratria II analysis

Aksakovo Fratria II
30 ELO 13
0.3% Tilt -2.9%
10063º General ELO ranking 15500º
97º Country ELO ranking 108º
ELO win probability
83.3%
Aksakovo
10.8%
Draw
5.9%
Fratria II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
Aksakovo
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
5.9%
Win probability
Fratria II
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aksakovo
+6%
+51%
Fratria II

Points and table prediction

Aksakovo
Their league position
Fratria II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
10º
21
12º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Septemvri Tervel
75
75
100%
Chernolomets 1919
69
69
100%
Volov Shumen
66
66
100%
Chernomorets Balchik
61
61
100%
Ludogorets III
60
60
100%
Cherno More Varna II
49
49
100%
Spartak Varna II
45
45
100%
Aksakovo
42
42
100%
Dorostol
40
40
100%
Benkovski Isperih
10º
39
39
10º
100%
Riltzi
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Ustrem Donchevo
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
13º
24
24
13º
100%
Botev Novi Pazar
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Fratria II
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Kubrat
16º
1
1
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aksakovo
Fratria II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Aksakovo
Fratria II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aksakovo
Aksakovo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2025
LUD
Ludogorets III
1 - 1
Aksakovo
AKS
75%
15%
10%
29 50 21 0
03 May. 2025
AKS
Aksakovo
4 - 1
Botev Novi Pazar
BOT
77%
14%
10%
28 17 11 +1
26 Apr. 2025
DOR
Dorostol
0 - 2
Aksakovo
AKS
36%
23%
42%
27 25 2 +1
19 Apr. 2025
AKS
Aksakovo
2 - 0
Cherno More Varna II
CMV
18%
20%
63%
22 43 21 +5
12 Apr. 2025
SVE
Svetkavitsa Targovishte
2 - 2
Aksakovo
AKS
42%
23%
35%
21 22 1 +1

Matches

Fratria II
Fratria II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2025
FRA
Fratria II
0 - 3
Chernomorets Balchik
CHE
18%
22%
59%
13 55 42 0
06 May. 2025
FSV
Spartak Varna II
3 - 0
Fratria II
FRA
83%
11%
6%
13 33 20 0
26 Apr. 2025
FRA
Fratria II
0 - 5
Septemvri Tervel
SEP
12%
18%
70%
14 48 34 -1
19 Apr. 2025
KUB
Kubrat
0 - 3
Fratria II
FRA
18%
19%
64%
14 7 7 0
12 Apr. 2025
FRA
Fratria II
4 - 0
Riltzi
FKR
12%
17%
71%
10 25 15 +4