AP Brera vs Rabotnički analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
10º
37
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
48.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
AKP
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POB
1 - 1
AKP
19%
25%
57%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
9 - 0
LJU
88%
9%
3%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
MAK
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rabotnički
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
RAB
0 - 1
SIL
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 4
SHK
25%
25%
49%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 0
RAB
24%
29%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
RAB
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 3
RAB
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |