Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
9º
2º
26
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 3
AJA
17%
19%
65%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HER
3 - 4
AJA
17%
19%
64%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 1
AJA
29%
22%
49%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
WIL
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 2
PSV
22%
21%
56%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UTR
3 - 2
WIL
54%
23%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |