Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
PAN
1 - 2
AJA
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GAE
0 - 3
AJA
14%
22%
63%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
FCR
4 - 1
AJA
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
RJC
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
WIL
76%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
HER
3 - 1
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |