Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FEY
3 - 2
AJA
55%
22%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 3
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 4
UTR
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
WIL
3 - 1
RBC
68%
18%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 2
NEC
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 1
WIL
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 1
TWE
37%
26%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 2
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |