Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
FEY
0 - 3
AJA
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
AJA
2 - 2
MVV
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1992 |
AJA
2 - 1
VIT
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
BOS
2 - 2
AJA
13%
24%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1992 |
VIT
0 - 3
AJA
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1992 |
WIL
4 - 0
BVO
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
RKC
0 - 0
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1992 |
WIL
1 - 0
RJC
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
WIL
1 - 1
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
SPA
1 - 0
WIL
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |