Ajax vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.8%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
FEY
4 - 2
AJA
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
AJA
5 - 3
TWE
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 3
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
AJA
2 - 1
BYM
56%
21%
23%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEC
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
ZWO
3 - 0
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
WIL
0 - 2
AZA
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
ADO
0 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
WIL
4 - 1
GRO
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |