Ajax vs VV Dos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 2
ENS
58%
20%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
FOR
2 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRO
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VV Dos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 1
VVD
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
VVD
2 - 0
PSV
30%
23%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
VVD
1 - 1
MVV
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
GRO
0 - 1
VVD
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
VVD
1 - 2
DWS
38%
25%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |