Ajax vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
10º
5º
6
8º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
2 - 2
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 2
BHA
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
VOL
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PSV
5 - 2
AJA
54%
22%
25%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCH
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GAE
5 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 1
VIT
5%
12%
83%
|
79 | 45 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
ZWO
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FEY
4 - 0
VIT
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |