Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
AZA
0 - 1
AJA
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 0
ADO
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
UTR
1 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 0
WAG
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 2
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
SPA
4 - 1
RJC
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
ZWO
3 - 1
SPA
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
6 - 2
GAE
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |