UCL 1/16
Global 2-0
Ajax vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
GRO
0 - 0
AJA
14%
25%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1971 |
AJA
1 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
38%
26%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
SGD
2 - 2
BFC
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
SGD
0 - 0
FVF
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
LOK
1 - 0
SGD
35%
29%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
SGD
3 - 1
MAG
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
SGD
4 - 2
ZWI
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |