Ajax vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
TWE
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
VCF
1 - 1
AJA
60%
23%
18%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SCH
0 - 3
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
6 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
1 - 1
ROM
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ROM
2 - 2
JUV
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 3
ARS
42%
26%
32%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PAR
3 - 0
ROM
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |