Ajax vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
16%
21%
62%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 0
NEC
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 3
DZG
59%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
RJC
3 - 2
GRA
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 0
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 1
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
TWE
0 - 1
RJC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
RJC
3 - 3
EXC
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |