Eredivisie Round 18

Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk analysis

Ajax RKC Waalwijk
88 ELO 71
13.4% Tilt 31.1%
103º General ELO ranking 696º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
75.4%
Ajax
15.1%
Draw
9.6%
RKC Waalwijk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
Ajax
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.5%
Win probability
RKC Waalwijk
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+5%
+1%
RKC Waalwijk

Points and table prediction

Ajax
Their league position
RKC Waalwijk
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
10º
29
13º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
91
91
100%
Feyenoord
84
84
100%
Twente
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
65
65
100%
Ajax
56
56
100%
NEC Nijmegen
53
53
100%
Utrecht
50
50
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
49
49
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
46
46
100%
Fortuna Sittard
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Heerenveen
11º
37
37
11º
100%
PEC Zwolle
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Almere City
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Heracles
14º
33
33
14º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
15º
29
29
15º
0%
Excelsior
16º
29
29
16º
0%
Vitesse
18º
6
24
17º
100%
FC Volendam
17º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ajax
RKC Waalwijk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2024
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 3
Ajax
AJA
19%
21%
60%
88 78 10 0
07 Jan. 2024
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
Hannover 96
HAN
75%
15%
10%
87 75 12 +1
06 Jan. 2024
AJA
Ajax
0 - 3
Hannover 96
HAN
76%
15%
9%
87 75 12 0
21 Dec. 2023
USV
USV Hercules
3 - 2
Ajax
AJA
5%
13%
82%
88 58 30 -1
17 Dec. 2023
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
71%
17%
12%
88 76 12 0

Matches

RKC Waalwijk
RKC Waalwijk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2024
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
1 - 2
Heracles
HER
33%
25%
42%
71 76 5 0
06 Jan. 2024
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
1 - 1
Kawkab Marrakech
KAW
62%
21%
17%
71 65 6 0
16 Dec. 2023
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 1
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
61%
22%
17%
71 82 11 0
10 Dec. 2023
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 0
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
43%
26%
32%
71 71 0 0
06 Dec. 2023
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
2 - 3
Ajax
AJA
15%
20%
65%
71 87 16 0