Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
MUD
1 - 2
AJA
74%
16%
11%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
4 - 1
NEC
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
MUD
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 0
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FEY
1 - 1
RKC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RKC
0 - 1
SCH
30%
24%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 3
RKC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |