Ajax vs Red Boys Differdange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.1%
Win probability
6.42
Expected goals
10-0
3.8%
+10
3.8%
9-0
5.9%
10-1
1.3%
+9
7.2%
8-0
8.3%
9-1
2%
10-2
0.2%
+8
10.5%
7-0
10.4%
8-1
2.8%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
13.5%
6-0
11.3%
7-1
3.5%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
<0%
+6
15.3%
5-0
10.6%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
15%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
1.9%
0.5%
Draw
0-0
0.1%
1-1
0.3%
2-2
0.1%
3-3
<0%
0
0.5%
0.1%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
0%
1-2
0%
2-3
0%
-1
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 2
AJA
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1984 |
RBD
0 - 0
AJA
1%
6%
93%
|
89 | 13 | 76 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1984 |
AJA
5 - 1
MVV
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Red Boys Differdange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1984 |
RBD
0 - 0
AJA
1%
6%
93%
|
13 | 89 | 76 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
RBD
0 - 1
THO
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
THO
7 - 1
RBD
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
RBD
0 - 7
SCP
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 86 | 72 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1981 |
SCP
4 - 0
RBD
90%
7%
2%
|
14 | 86 | 72 | 0 |