Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AJA
4 - 0
ADO
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TWE
2 - 0
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
PSV
0 - 1
NAC
74%
16%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
PSV
5 - 1
ZWO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 2
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |