Johan Cruyff Shield . Final

Ajax vs PSV analysis

Ajax PSV
87 ELO 88
26.1% Tilt 16.4%
83º General ELO ranking 75º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.6%
Ajax
21.1%
Draw
25.3%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
Ajax
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.3%
Win probability
PSV
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
-3%
+8%
PSV

ELO progression

Ajax
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 1998
AJA
Ajax
1 - 2
Utrecht
UTR
84%
11%
5%
88 67 21 0
03 May. 1998
GRA
De Graafschap
1 - 8
Ajax
AJA
21%
23%
56%
88 68 20 0
26 Apr. 1998
VIT
Vitesse
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
34%
24%
42%
88 82 6 0
23 Apr. 1998
AJA
Ajax
6 - 1
Willem II
WIL
81%
13%
6%
88 74 14 0
19 Apr. 1998
GRO
Groningen
2 - 4
Ajax
AJA
20%
23%
57%
88 68 20 0

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 1998
MAR
Maribor
2 - 1
PSV
PSV
25%
25%
50%
88 76 12 0
10 May. 1998
TWE
Twente
3 - 0
PSV
PSV
19%
23%
58%
88 76 12 0
03 May. 1998
PSV
PSV
6 - 2
Groningen
GRO
85%
10%
5%
88 67 21 0
26 Apr. 1998
PSV
PSV
3 - 3
Feyenoord
FEY
68%
18%
14%
88 86 2 0
22 Apr. 1998
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
19%
22%
59%
88 70 18 0
X