Ajax vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
VOL
2 - 3
AJA
22%
21%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
AJA
6 - 1
VVD
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
AJA
7 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
56%
20%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
AJA
4 - 2
GRO
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
PSV
3 - 2
HER
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
FEY
4 - 2
PSV
56%
21%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1963 |
PSV
7 - 1
ESB
79%
12%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRO
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
ESB
3 - 4
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |