Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1972 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1972 |
GAE
3 - 2
AJA
26%
27%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
AJA
2 - 0
DWS
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1972 |
ARS
0 - 1
AJA
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
NEC
0 - 1
AJA
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1972 |
MVV
1 - 1
BOS
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
VOL
1 - 0
MVV
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
MVV
1 - 2
TEL
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
UTR
1 - 0
MVV
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
VIT
1 - 1
MVV
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |