Ajax vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
2.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1969 |
TNV
2 - 0
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
TNV
87%
8%
4%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
TEL
1 - 4
AJA
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
6 - 0
GRO
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
MVV
1 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 1
MVV
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
MVV
1 - 2
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
MVV
0 - 0
GRO
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ADO
1 - 0
MVV
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |