Ajax vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 2
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 2
AJA
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
58%
21%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 4
LIL
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 2
AJA
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 0
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
DIJ
0 - 1
LIL
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 2
LIL
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |