Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . 1/16
Global 9-1
Ajax vs Ruch Chorzów analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
DWS
0 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
NAC
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
FEY
1 - 0
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
AJA
4 - 0
VVD
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
TWE
0 - 3
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ruch Chorzów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
RCH
3 - 0
GKS
59%
19%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1969 |
ODR
0 - 3
RCH
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1969 |
RCH
5 - 0
WIS
47%
22%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1969 |
RCH
1 - 0
SZO
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1969 |
RCH
4 - 1
WIE
42%
24%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +2 |