Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
15%
19%
67%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MID
1 - 2
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 2
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VVV
0 - 13
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VVV
3 - 2
HER
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
HER
4 - 1
UTR
23%
23%
55%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
HER
3 - 0
TEL
67%
19%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HER
0 - 1
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |