Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 5
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 2
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
SCH
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
TWE
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
RJC
0 - 3
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
ZWO
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |