Eredivisie Normal Season Round 24

Ajax vs Heracles analysis

Ajax Heracles
86 ELO 71
2.4% Tilt 4.6%
103º General ELO ranking 382º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
73.9%
Ajax
17.1%
Draw
9%
Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
Ajax
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
Heracles
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+4%
+10%
Heracles

ELO progression

Ajax
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2017
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Legia Warszawa
WAR
66%
20%
14%
86 78 8 0
19 Feb. 2017
VIT
Vitesse
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
25%
24%
51%
86 76 10 0
16 Feb. 2017
WAR
Legia Warszawa
0 - 0
Ajax
AJA
28%
25%
48%
86 79 7 0
12 Feb. 2017
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
73%
17%
10%
86 72 14 0
05 Feb. 2017
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
13%
22%
65%
86 65 21 0

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2017
HER
Heracles
4 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
63%
22%
16%
71 63 8 0
11 Feb. 2017
HER
Heracles
2 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
58%
23%
19%
71 65 6 0
04 Feb. 2017
WIL
Willem II
1 - 3
Heracles
HER
44%
26%
30%
70 70 0 +1
28 Jan. 2017
HER
Heracles
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
17%
21%
62%
71 85 14 -1
20 Jan. 2017
TWE
Twente
1 - 0
Heracles
HER
50%
25%
25%
71 74 3 0