Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 0
WAR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
AJA
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
WAR
0 - 0
AJA
28%
25%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 0
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RJC
0 - 2
AJA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HER
4 - 0
EXC
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
RJC
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |