Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HSV
1 - 3
AJA
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRA
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HER
2 - 1
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
TWE
4 - 0
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 3
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |