Eredivisie Round 20

Ajax vs Heracles analysis

Ajax Heracles
85 ELO 74
-4.6% Tilt 4%
103º General ELO ranking 382º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
61.7%
Ajax
21.2%
Draw
17.1%
Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
Ajax
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.1%
Win probability
Heracles
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+4%
+10%
Heracles

ELO progression

Ajax
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Vitesse
VIT
58%
22%
20%
85 78 7 0
17 Jan. 2016
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
24%
25%
51%
85 73 12 0
09 Jan. 2016
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
34%
26%
40%
85 82 3 0
20 Dec. 2015
AJA
Ajax
2 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
79%
15%
6%
85 58 27 0
13 Dec. 2015
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 0
Ajax
AJA
34%
25%
41%
85 77 8 0

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
HER
Heracles
2 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
69%
19%
12%
74 59 15 0
15 Jan. 2016
TWE
Twente
4 - 0
Heracles
HER
38%
25%
37%
76 74 2 -2
19 Dec. 2015
HER
Heracles
2 - 1
Groningen
GRO
41%
26%
34%
74 76 2 +2
16 Dec. 2015
HER
Heracles
2 - 3
PSV
PSV
27%
23%
50%
74 84 10 0
13 Dec. 2015
HER
Heracles
1 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
36%
25%
39%
74 78 4 0