Eredivisie Round 33

Ajax vs Heracles analysis

Ajax Heracles
89 ELO 73
19.1% Tilt 35.2%
103º General ELO ranking 382º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
81%
Ajax
12.8%
Draw
6.3%
Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
Ajax
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.3%
Win probability
Heracles
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+3%
+10%
Heracles

ELO progression

Ajax
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2010
WIL
Willem II
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
13%
18%
70%
88 61 27 0
11 Apr. 2010
AJA
Ajax
7 - 0
VVV Venlo
VVV
81%
13%
6%
88 71 17 0
04 Apr. 2010
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
11%
17%
72%
88 63 25 0
28 Mar. 2010
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Groningen
GRO
74%
16%
10%
88 79 9 0
25 Mar. 2010
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
0 - 6
Ajax
AJA
15%
20%
65%
89 70 19 -1

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2010
HER
Heracles
4 - 1
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
58%
23%
19%
73 65 8 0
10 Apr. 2010
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
Heracles
HER
36%
26%
38%
73 64 9 0
04 Apr. 2010
HER
Heracles
2 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
46%
27%
28%
72 74 2 +1
27 Mar. 2010
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
3 - 2
Heracles
HER
66%
20%
13%
72 85 13 0
20 Mar. 2010
HER
Heracles
3 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
35%
26%
39%
71 76 5 +1