Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
13%
18%
70%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AJA
7 - 0
VVV
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
GAE
0 - 6
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
RKC
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
HER
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
NEC
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
AZA
3 - 2
HER
66%
20%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |