Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 4
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 0
AJA
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
HER
0 - 1
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 0
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
RJC
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 1
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
HER
2 - 2
RJC
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |