Eredivisie Round 8

Ajax vs Heracles analysis

Ajax Heracles
87 ELO 72
3.4% Tilt 16%
103º General ELO ranking 385º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Ajax
16.1%
Draw
9.3%
Heracles

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
Ajax
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.3%
Win probability
Heracles
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+5%
+13%
Heracles

ELO progression

Ajax
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2005
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
24%
23%
53%
88 73 15 0
27 Sep. 2005
AJA
Ajax
1 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
28%
26%
46%
88 94 6 0
24 Sep. 2005
AJA
Ajax
4 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
69%
18%
13%
88 75 13 0
21 Sep. 2005
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
ADO Den Haag
ADO
73%
17%
10%
88 69 19 0
18 Sep. 2005
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
4 - 2
Ajax
AJA
30%
25%
45%
88 82 6 0

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2005
HER
Heracles
0 - 4
Twente
TWE
45%
25%
30%
72 76 4 0
25 Sep. 2005
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 0
Heracles
HER
54%
23%
24%
73 72 1 -1
17 Sep. 2005
HER
Heracles
0 - 2
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
48%
24%
28%
74 74 0 -1
10 Sep. 2005
SCH
Heerenveen
1 - 2
Heracles
HER
65%
20%
15%
74 80 6 0
28 Aug. 2005
HER
Heracles
2 - 1
Groningen
GRO
61%
21%
18%
73 68 5 +1