Ajax vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 2
ARS
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 2
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
AZA
4 - 2
AJA
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
HER
0 - 4
TWE
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 0
HER
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
HER
0 - 2
RKC
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 2
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |