Eredivisie . Jor. 6

Ajax vs Heerenveen analysis

Ajax Heerenveen
88 ELO 73
20.3% Tilt 16.3%
84º General ELO ranking 566º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
77.6%
Ajax
14%
Draw
8.4%
Heerenveen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
Ajax
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.4%
Win probability
Heerenveen
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
-2%
-2%
Heerenveen

Points and table prediction

Ajax
Their league position
Heerenveen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
46
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Feyenoord
82
82
100%
PSV
75
75
100%
Ajax
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
67
67
100%
Twente
64
64
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
59
59
100%
Utrecht
54
54
100%
Heerenveen
46
46
100%
RKC Waalwijk
41
41
100%
Vitesse
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
11º
40
40
11º
100%
NEC Nijmegen
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Fortuna Sittard
13º
36
36
13º
0%
FC Volendam
14º
36
36
14º
0%
Excelsior
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Emmen
16º
28
28
16º
100%
Cambuur
17º
19
19
17º
100%
Groningen
18º
18
18
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajax
Heerenveen
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ajax
Heerenveen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2022
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
Rangers FC
GLA
75%
15%
10%
88 81 7 0
03 Sep. 2022
AJA
Ajax
4 - 0
Cambuur
BVO
78%
14%
8%
88 71 17 0
28 Aug. 2022
UTR
Utrecht
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
17%
21%
62%
88 78 10 0
21 Aug. 2022
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
12%
18%
70%
88 68 20 0
14 Aug. 2022
AJA
Ajax
6 - 1
Groningen
GRO
78%
14%
8%
88 70 18 0

Matches

Heerenveen
Heerenveen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2022
SCH
Heerenveen
0 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
45%
25%
30%
73 68 5 0
27 Aug. 2022
SCH
Heerenveen
2 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
52%
25%
23%
73 64 9 0
20 Aug. 2022
VIT
Vitesse
0 - 4
Heerenveen
SCH
53%
24%
23%
71 78 7 +2
13 Aug. 2022
FEY
Feyenoord
0 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
72%
17%
11%
71 86 15 0
05 Aug. 2022
SCH
Heerenveen
0 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
47%
27%
27%
71 69 2 0
X