Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
59%
20%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 1
AJA
13%
19%
67%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
AZA
0 - 0
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
AJA
3 - 1
RKC
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 1
BOS
43%
25%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 1
RJC
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 3
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
TWE
0 - 0
GRA
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
GRA
5 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |