Eredivisie Round 25

Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis

Ajax Fortuna Sittard
89 ELO 75
9.6% Tilt 31.8%
102º General ELO ranking 516º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
75.5%
Ajax
15.7%
Draw
8.8%
Fortuna Sittard

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
Ajax
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.8%
Win probability
Fortuna Sittard
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+5%
-6%
Fortuna Sittard

Points and table prediction

Ajax
Their league position
Fortuna Sittard
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
10º
38
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
91
91
100%
Feyenoord
84
84
100%
Twente
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
65
65
100%
Ajax
56
56
100%
NEC Nijmegen
53
53
100%
Utrecht
50
50
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
49
49
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
46
46
100%
Fortuna Sittard
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Heerenveen
11º
37
37
11º
100%
PEC Zwolle
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Almere City
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Heracles
14º
33
33
14º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
15º
29
29
15º
0%
Excelsior
16º
29
29
16º
0%
Vitesse
18º
6
24
17º
100%
FC Volendam
17º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2024
AJA
Ajax
0 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
31%
25%
45%
89 93 4 0
03 Mar. 2024
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
64%
20%
17%
89 84 5 0
25 Feb. 2024
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
38%
24%
39%
89 89 0 0
22 Feb. 2024
BOG
FK Bodo Glimt
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
30%
22%
49%
89 85 4 0
18 Feb. 2024
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
68%
18%
14%
89 81 8 0

Matches

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
5 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
51%
24%
26%
74 70 4 0
27 Feb. 2024
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
2 - 3
Den Bosch
BOS
78%
15%
8%
74 55 19 0
24 Feb. 2024
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
0 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
43%
26%
31%
73 72 1 +1
17 Feb. 2024
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
1 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
19%
23%
58%
73 89 16 0
11 Feb. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
4 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
65%
21%
15%
74 82 8 -1