Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
36%
24%
41%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 0
LIL
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 4
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 0
APO
70%
18%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VIT
4 - 2
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 3
TWE
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 3
WIL
26%
24%
51%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |