Ajax vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
AJA
3 - 2
GAE
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 7
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 1
TWE
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
0 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
ZWO
1 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
TWE
1 - 1
ZWO
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |