Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
0 - 0
AJA
43%
24%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
4 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 2
JUV
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
3 - 0
TWE
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
UTR
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
FEY
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 0
UTR
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
PSV
2 - 1
UTR
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
0 - 0
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |