Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
GRO
1 - 4
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
AJA
5 - 0
HFC
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
PSV
1 - 4
AJA
60%
21%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
AJA
3 - 2
RKC
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
RJC
0 - 0
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
UTR
3 - 0
BVV
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
WIL
2 - 0
UTR
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
UTR
1 - 2
BOS
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
VVV
2 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
UTR
2 - 0
VOL
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |