Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 0
AJA
68%
17%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FCE
0 - 5
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
AJA
3 - 1
MID
72%
17%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 0
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
UTR
0 - 3
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
TWE
0 - 2
RKC
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
TWE
1 - 1
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ADO
2 - 4
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
TWE
5 - 1
ZWO
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
TWE
1 - 3
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -2 |