Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
TWE
3 - 2
AJA
41%
25%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
TWE
3 - 2
AJA
41%
25%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 0
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
ADO
1 - 2
TWE
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TWE
1 - 3
VIL
44%
26%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |