Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
GEN
0 - 0
AJA
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
28%
27%
46%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
FOR
0 - 1
AJA
16%
25%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
GRA
0 - 1
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
TWE
4 - 0
SPA
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
WIL
3 - 1
TWE
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1992 |
FOR
3 - 1
TWE
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
GRA
0 - 0
TWE
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
TWE
4 - 1
GRO
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |