UCL Semi-finals

Global 3-2

Ajax vs Spartak Trnava analysis

Ajax Spartak Trnava
89 ELO 75
26% Tilt 10.6%
107º General ELO ranking 824º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
87.2%
Ajax
8.4%
Draw
4.4%
Spartak Trnava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
Ajax
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.4%
Win probability
Spartak Trnava
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
-2%
+2%
Spartak Trnava

ELO progression

Ajax
Spartak Trnava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 1969
TEL
SC Telstar
1 - 4
Ajax
AJA
16%
24%
60%
88 67 21 0
02 Apr. 1969
AJA
Ajax
6 - 0
Groningen
GRO
89%
8%
3%
88 73 15 0
30 Mar. 1969
VOL
FC Volendam
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
17%
24%
59%
88 66 22 0
05 Mar. 1969
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
Benfica
SLB
70%
16%
13%
88 88 0 0
01 Mar. 1969
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
SHS Scheveningen Holland
SHS
90%
7%
4%
88 68 20 0

Matches

Spartak Trnava
Spartak Trnava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 1969
AEK
AEK Athens
1 - 1
Spartak Trnava
TNV
56%
20%
25%
75 76 1 0
26 Feb. 1969
TNV
Spartak Trnava
2 - 1
AEK Athens
AEK
49%
21%
30%
74 77 3 +1
27 Nov. 1968
TNV
Spartak Trnava
7 - 1
FC Reipas Lahti
FCR
77%
13%
10%
74 54 20 0
20 Nov. 1968
FCR
FC Reipas Lahti
1 - 9
Spartak Trnava
TNV
38%
21%
41%
73 54 19 +1
02 Oct. 1968
TNV
Spartak Trnava
4 - 0
FCSB
STB
49%
23%
28%
72 79 7 +1