Ajax vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
AJA
6 - 0
RJC
91%
7%
3%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
FCP
2 - 0
AJA
62%
21%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
HER
1 - 8
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
AJA
7 - 1
VVV
95%
3%
1%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 0
CHA
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
FCP
2 - 0
AJA
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
AVE
1 - 2
FCP
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 1
PEN
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
SAL
1 - 1
FCP
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |