Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
88%
9%
4%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
36%
24%
41%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 0
LIL
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 4
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PSV
3 - 1
GRO
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 0
ZWO
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VVV
2 - 1
GRO
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 2
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AZA
0 - 0
GRO
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |