Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GAE
0 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
FEY
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 1
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AZA
2 - 0
GRO
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
RKC
1 - 1
GRO
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
GRO
5 - 2
NEC
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 1
NEC
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 0
GRO
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |