Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
VIT
3 - 1
AJA
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
55%
22%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 0
SCH
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
AJA
4 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
59%
20%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
GRO
0 - 2
RJC
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
TWE
0 - 1
GRO
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 1
GRO
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
GRO
1 - 1
RKC
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 4
GRO
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |