Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
24%
21%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
XER
0 - 1
AJA
21%
21%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
PSV
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
AJA
1 - 0
FEY
63%
19%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
GRO
3 - 0
VOL
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
NEC
0 - 1
GRO
57%
21%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
GRO
0 - 0
FEY
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRO
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
GRO
1 - 1
VVD
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |